Kolbe A. Dumas

Kolbe A. Dumas

PhD Student, Political Science

University of Houston

Public Policy · Methodology · AI Governance

About

I am a PhD student in Political Science at the University of Houston, specializing in Public Policy and Quantitative Methodology. My research examines how governments adopt, implement, and govern emerging technologies, with a particular focus on artificial intelligence in U.S. state and local institutions.

My work sits at the intersection of public policy, political methodology, and administrative governance. I study how political signals, institutional incentives, and bureaucratic capacity shape the adoption of AI systems and related technologies across government. Substantively, my research focuses on AI procurement, policy diffusion, executive agenda setting, and institutional responses to technological shocks.

Methodologically, I employ causal inference, computational social science, and quantitative policy analysis, drawing on approaches including event-history modeling, quasi-experimental designs, text analysis, and machine learning to evaluate public-sector technological change under uncertainty.

Prior to doctoral study, I earned a Master of Public Policy and a Bachelor of Science in Applied Quantitative Sciences from Arizona State University.

Research

My research examines how governments respond to emerging technologies and policy shocks, with particular attention to procurement, administrative implementation, and institutional behavior. A secondary research agenda examines electoral institutions and policy.

Journal Submissions / Revise & Resubmit

Ballot Caps vs. Slate Size: How the 5-Candidate Cap Affects Ballot Completion in New York City's Ranked Choice Voting

Research note. Revise and resubmit, Electoral Studies.

From Technological Salience to Administrative Demand: State Artificial Intelligence Procurement After ChatGPT

Submitted to Public Policy and Administration.

Working Papers

The Diffusion of AI Procurement across U.S. States

APSA 2026.

Do Participatory Campaign Finance Reforms Polarize? Evidence from the Seattle Democracy Voucher Program

Michael Kistner, Mellissa Meisels, Kolbe A. Dumas, and Lautaro Cruz

Research in Progress

AI Policy Agenda Index (APAI)

Developing a state-year measure of gubernatorial AI prioritization and policy orientation, then using it to estimate how executive prioritization affects downstream AI procurement.

OBBBA: SNAP and Medicaid Procurement

Education

Expected 2028

PhD in Political Science

Public Policy and Methodology

University of Houston

2022

Master of Public Policy

Arizona State University

2021

Bachelor of Science

Applied Quantitative Sciences

Arizona State University